
Gold and silver are trading at abnormally high premiums over international benchmarks in India due to speculation about potential customs duty hikes in the February 1 Union Budget. Silver premiums exceed ₹30,000 per kg while gold premiums reach 3-4%, causing MCX gold futures to rise 5% to ₹1,57,750 and silver futures to jump 3% to ₹3,33,672. ETFs show even sharper gains with some rising nearly 10%. The premium surge is disrupting arbitrage trades and causing losses for international traders, while market speculation focuses on whether the government might reverse its July 2024 duty cut from 15% to 6%.