Stocks rose after every US midterm elections since 1946. Why that streak may not mean what investors think

Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isnt, and here is why.

Nov 2, 2026 - 17:00
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Stocks rose after every US midterm elections since 1946. Why that streak may not mean what investors think
Tomorrow Americans vote in the midterms, and a lot of investors are asking one thing; will stocks go up afterward? History says yes. The S&P 500 was higher a year after every midterm since 1946, 20 times out of 20. The average gain was 14.8%. That sounds like a sure thing. It isnt, and here is why.

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