The great bond tailwind for stocks is over

Iran tensions have driven up government debt yields globally. From 2000 to 2022, ​S&P 500 earnings yielded on ​average 3.1 percentage points more than ⁠10-year US Treasuries. Now, high risk-free ​rates make equities less appealing, crimp ​government spending and curb economic growth.

Aug 18, 2026 - 18:00
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The great bond tailwind for stocks is over
Iran tensions have driven up government debt yields globally. From 2000 to 2022, ​S&P 500 earnings yielded on ​average 3.1 percentage points more than ⁠10-year US Treasuries. Now, high risk-free ​rates make equities less appealing, crimp ​government spending and curb economic growth.

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