US Stock Market | Bond markets signal rising odds of Fed rate hike before cuts

Global bond traders are shifting stance, increasingly pricing in a possible rate hike by the Federal Reserve before any cuts, with derivatives showing over a 50% probability by April. The change reflects rising policy uncertainty, increased hedging activity, and leadership transition risks, with Kevin Warsh expected to take charge amid pressure from Donald Trump for lower rates.

May 6, 2026 - 09:00
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US Stock Market | Bond markets signal rising odds of Fed rate hike before cuts
Global bond traders are shifting stance, increasingly pricing in a possible rate hike by the Federal Reserve before any cuts, with derivatives showing over a 50% probability by April. The change reflects rising policy uncertainty, increased hedging activity, and leadership transition risks, with Kevin Warsh expected to take charge amid pressure from Donald Trump for lower rates.

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